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Market Analysis of December 31, 2019

The marketcap has been moving down (-1.69%) since yesterday. The total capitalization is 193 223 207 611 USD.

Bitcoin totals 131 767 761 381 USD of capitalization for a dominance of 68.2%. Ethereum’s marketcap is 14 472 877 924 USD, followed by Ripple with 8 396 175 128 USD.

Market Sentiment

HOW TO READ THE MARKET SENTIMENT ?

Bitcoin Analysis

BTC Update

Bitcoin is still evolving in its zone between 7221 and 7273 in a rather negative daily technical context.

The technical indicators on a horizon of 1h and 4h evolve in their oversold zone, so we could see a rebound as long as the above-mentioned zone is not broken.

What to do about it?

Wait for breakage on either side of this zone 7225 – 7275

  • The supports of the day are at 7221$ — 7100$
  • The resistances of the day are at 7275$ — 7400$

Ethereum Analysis

ETH Update

The Ethereum evolves below its weekly opening level as well as below its resistance at 132.30.

The daily technical situation remains positive for the moment as well as on a shorter horizon in 1h and 4h.

What can be done?

We will wait for a return on support or a break in resistance before positioning ourselves for purchase.

  • The supports of the day are at 129.55$ — 123.4$
  • The resistances of the day are at 132.3$ — 133.45$

Conclusion

Patience for BTC before knowing if the zone will become support or resistance, for ETH we will wait for a return on support or a break of resistance.

All the 4C-Trading team wishes you a happy new year 2020!

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Market Analysis of December 30, 2019

The marketcap has been moving down (-0.44%) since yesterday. The total capitalization is 196 563 250 826 USD.

Bitcoin totals 133 850 399 642 USD of capitalization for a dominance of 68.2%. Ethereum’s marketcap is 14 673 127 056 USD, followed by Ripple with 8 507 718 621 USD.

Market Sentiment

HOW TO READ THE MARKET SENTIMENT ?

Bitcoin Analysis

Bitcoin closed higher and is trading around $7311. It will be interesting to see what role the Weekly Open will take. Last week’s resistances and supports are still valid.

The daily technical situation is rather positive despite a bearish CCI.

Over a 4 hour time horizon, the technical situation becomes rather negative. The Weekly Open takes the role of resistance.

What to do about it?

Wait and see what role the Weekly Open will take.

  • The supports of the day are at 7100$ — 6500$
  • The resistances of the day are at 7800$ — 8000$

Ethereum Analysis

ETH closed higher and is trading around $133.35. Just like the BTC, last week’s supports and resistances are still valid.

The daily technical situation is rather positive.

Over a 4 hour time horizon, the technical situation remains rather positive, but with signs of a turnaround decreasing.

What can be done?

Wait for a test of a resistance or a support before positioning yourself.

  • The supports of the day are at 121$ — 100$
  • The resistances of the day are at 135$ — 166$

Conclusion

To get the week off to a good start, check the validity of substrates and resistances and monitor potentially important new levels.

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Market Analysis of December 27, 2019

The marketcap has been moving up (0.19%) since yesterday. The total capitalization is 191 249 071 820 USD.

Bitcoin totals 131 377 671 909 USD of capitalization for a dominance of 68.7%. Ethereum’s marketcap is 13 744 923 265 USD, followed by Ripple with 8 243 851 315 USD.

Market Sentiment

HOW TO READ THE MARKET SENTIMENT ?

Bitcoin Analysis

Bitcoin closed lower for the 4th day in a row and is trading around $7168. As announced yesterday, the btc went up but the selling force regained the upper hand as the doji shape shows us.

The daily technical situation is rather negative, despite a bullish MACD, the WaveTrends has just crossed lower.

Over a time horizon of 4 hours, the technical situation is negative. But we can see that the $7100 support still holds.

What to do about it?

Not much to do as long as the BTC is just above $7100 support.

  • The supports of the day are at 7100$ — 6500$
  • The resistances of the day are at 7800$ — 8000$

Ethereum Analysis

ETH closed higher and is trading around $124.3, back at the same point after a small rise. The shape of the doji shows us that the selling forces have the upper hand as for the BTC.

The daily technical situation is rather negative but quite uncertain.

On a 4 hour time horizon, the technical situation remains negative.

What can we do about it?

There’s not much to do except checking that the $121 support still holds.

  • The supports of the day are at 121$ — 100$
  • The resistances of the day are at 135$ — 155$

Conclusion

After the small climb announced yesterday for ETH and BTC, here they are back to the starting point.

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TOP 10 Expert Tips when investing in crypto

It’s been over 12 months since Bitcoin hopefully witnessed its bottom after a dramatic 2018 crash when it had lost over 80% of its All-Time-High value of 20 000 USD in December 2017. We have seen some ups and downs in those 13 months, some organically, some not. Still, the overall consensus and anticipation of the next Bitcoin halving in May 2020 is driving a more positive sentiment into the crypto industry now. 

 

You might probably wonder whether it is an excellent time to start your investment in the newest and most-promising financial sector now. Many arguments back it up based on both technical and Fundamental Analysis. So, what should you do and what should you avoid if you want to invest in crypto? Let’s find out! Here are the TOP 10 Expert Tips for crypto investors!

 

10. Invest what you can afford to lose.

 

The crypto investment game is very volatile and can be risky. Remember that you are always at risk of losing money due to some speculation on the markets.Do not take loans to invest etc. – invest money only if you can get over a potential loss. Otherwise, it will create an emotional bond to your investment, which is always bad for you, because you will make inferior decisions.

 

9. Decide whether you want to accumulate value in Dollars or Bitcoin.

 

Dollar value and Bitcoin value are two completely different things. If you are a day trader/short term trader, then you should stick to Bitcoin value all the time. However, if you plan your investment mid-long term, then accumulating in USD is perfectly fine. 

 

8. Crypto Trading is not secure, so crypto traders use Algo trading.

 

Trading and investing is a very tricky and challenging game. The cryptocurrency market and Bitcoin are highly manipulative and volatile. If you feel insecure and your experience is not reliable, you should consider crypto trading via Algo trading. This is automated trading based on indicators and algorithms that can be not only safe but also quite profitable in the crypto market. It applied both to Bitcoin and altcoins. 

 

7. Create your own strategy and have a goal.

 

You need to roughly estimate what profits you assume would be right for you. Set your goal (for example, 3x profits) and then move to another coin with your newly accumulated gains. It applies to day trading/short term trading mostly. If you are a long term trader, sell some portion of your coin after reaching your target (like 50%) and hold the rest for longer. This is recommended to all crypto traders. 

 

6. Diversify your portfolio

 

Do not keep all eggs in one basket. Diversification is the key to your success as it is a very stable ground for gains and losses. Keeping from 5 to 10 coins is the best option. Some of your coins should really be Bitcoin and/or Ethereum, as they are the basic ones right now. Also, when you wonder which crypto has the most potential, use some of 4C’s insight into fundamental Analysis. 

5. Keep your eye on Bitcoin. Always.

 

Why would you do that? First of all, because you should stick to Satoshi value. Second, Bitcoin affects Altcoins. If Bitcoin goes on a crazy bull run, altcoins take a beating (people selling Altcoins to buy Bitcoin and Bitcoin value is also changing). When Bitcoin drops rapidly, Altcoins also get slaughtered (people are FUDing and sell all, including Altcoins). However, when Bitcoin is consolidating, altcoins usually grow significantly in value. So, never panic sell.

 

However, you should watch the markets to observe some new patterns as the situation is volatile, and sometimes growing Bitcoin can drag altcoins with it as well.

 

4. Do not be impatient, and do not be too greedy.

 

Newcomers to crypto trading are too impatient to wait 1-2 years to accumulate the fruit of their labor. They want to become rich in 1-2 months. Therefore, they panic sell when their coins are down or invest too much in one cryptocurrency. Always diversify and invest smaller amounts in hedging yourself against losses. Also, do not contemplate on your missed opportunities – there will be new ones ahead soon! And if you are looking for the best crypto to invest in 2020, head to 4C’s Confidential Report community.

 

3. Always take supply and volume into consideration.

 

If the coin price is low (a few satoshis/cents), it doesn’t mean it’s an excellent opportunity to invest. Always look at the supply juxtaposed with the price. The market cap = supply x coin price. It is usually more probable for a cryptocurrency with a low market cap (for example, 300 mln) and a higher price (for example, 300 USD) to go 10x than to reach the same profits for a coin that costs 0.1 USD but has a high capitalization. Still, its market cap is already 10 bln USD.

 

Mind you, coins with small volume can spring a trap on you. Always use exchanges and coins with relatively more significant volumes, or you will be holding bags in no time.

 

However, if crypto traders are under FOMO and cryptocurrencies go mainstream, this situation can change as many new crypto traders will buy coins with smaller prices (below 1 USD), thinking it’s a good deal, completely
ignoring market cap. They are newbies after all, aren’t they?

 

2. Technical Analysis is functional, but it’s not the oracle.

 

Technical Analysis is constructive in day trading, but it won’t help when some news is coming (wrong or right). The prices will not stick to your TA when something big is in the air. Always check social media of the projects, follow the devs, read the roadmaps. Stay frosty all the time and watch over your investment!

 

1 Always take care of your security and do not store your coins in exchanges, if possible.

 

Remember Mt. Gox? One day, 85 000 Bitcoin were stolen in a day as the exchange got hacked. So, security is critically important. Hacks happen. Thankfully, if you follow best practices, which can be easily found on dozens of respected sites, you will be OK. But let’s face it, it’s a little scary to know that you are responsible for your own coins if you choose to keep them yourself.

 

Over time, as custody solutions mature, more prominent institutions and more retail crypto investors add this emerging asset to their portfolios, the volatility and danger of holding crypto will lessen. But ultimately, crypto might still be too much for you, and every reader will have to figure it out for him or herself.

 

Also, always download specific wallets for your coins or store them in hardware wallets (Trezor, Ledger Nano S, Keepkey). Obviously, if you are a day trader, this applies to you less, as you will need those coins to circulate.

 

Write down your passwords, seeds to your wallets in different places, and keep them safe. The same goes for your private keys – if you don’t own them, you don’t own the coins. Keep your coins in paper wallets, hardware wallets. Always use 2FA everywhere and use an offline device for it.

 

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We put our money where our mouth is.

 

We play the game successfully based on in-depth research and educate you to the best of our knowledge. We take the same step as we recommend, we don’t shill any project as our game is fair. 

 

We educate because earning is a new skill.

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Market Analysis of December 26, 2019

The marketcap has been moving down (-1.34%) since yesterday. The total capitalization is 190 880 679 238 USD.

Bitcoin totals 131 440 123 663 USD of capitalization for a dominance of 68.9%. Ethereum’s marketcap is 13 760 006 984 USD, followed by Ripple with 8 186 092 893 USD.

Market Sentiment

HOW TO READ THE MARKET SENTIMENT ?

Bitcoin Analysis

The BTC closed lower for the third time in a row and is trading around 7205. The BTC rebounded on the $7100 support.

The daily technical situation is rather positive despite signs of bearish curvature of the WaveTrends.

Over a 4-hour time horizon, the technical situation remains rather positive. We can see the beginning of a recovery after the rebound on the $7,100 support.

What to do about it?

The $7,100 support is confirmed and we can expect the BTC to rally, but there is no indication that the $7,800 is back.

  • The supports of the day are at 7100$ — 6500$
  • The resistances of the day are at 7800$ — 8000$

Ethereum Analysis

ETH closed lower for the third time in a row as well and is trading around $125.15.

The daily technical situation is uncertain however we have signs of a bullish recovery.

Over a 4 hour time horizon, indicators are positive.

What can we do?

We may have a small rise in ETH but the trend remains bearish.

  • The supports of the day are at 121$ — 100$
  • The resistances of the day are at 135$ — 155$

Conclusion

BTC and ETH have rebounded on support, confirming it and we can expect a small rise in the short term.

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Market Analysis of December 24, 2019

The marketcap has been moving down (-1.91%) since yesterday. The total capitalization is 194 846 048 062 USD.

Bitcoin totals 134 230 140 894 USD of capitalization for a dominance of 68.9%. Ethereum’s marketcap is 14 106 673 421 USD, followed by Ripple with 8 344 813 691 USD.

Market Sentiment

HOW TO READ THE MARKET SENTIMENT ?

Bitcoin Analysis

The $7,200 announced the day before is not far off. Indeed, the price has been pushed back from the distribution area due to lack of volume.

We can still think that the BTC has resumed an upward trend over the medium term, for that, the price will have to rebound to the $7100 – $7200 level. If we have this rebound, we can expect the possibility of breaking the $7,800 level.

Otherwise, a return to $6800 could happen. However, the 6800$ has already been tested several times. Liquidity at this level is no longer as abundant. We are not there yet, but we will be watching to see if this scenario comes true.

  • The supports of the day are at 7100$ — 6500$
  • The resistances of the day are at 7800$ — 8000$

Ethereum Analysis

The situation for ETH is different, we cannot see an upward trend at the moment.

On the contrary, the price of ETH is in the zone before the April 2019 bullrun. Given the situation, it is possible to imagine a return to the former low point of ETH at around $80.

What can we do?

Until a confirmation of the trend takes place, it is not advisable to return to the position.

  • The supports of the day are at 121$ — 100$
  • The resistances of the day are at 135$ — 155$

Conclusion

Waiting for a trend confirmation

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Newsflash of December 23, 2019

Market Cap at 1:52 (UTC) – $199,886,422,706 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 68.9 %
BTC $7,602.44 (+5.42%)
ETH $134.27 (+3.08%)
XRP $0.196847 (+1.29%)

Congress to draft a new crypto bill


According to Forbes, U.S Lawmakers will soon introduce a new bill which provides a framework for regulating cryptocurrencies. The bill called “Crypto-Currency Act of 2020” will clarify which Federal agency is responsible for regulating digital assets. Moreover, the bill will classify various crypto classes such as stablecoin, synthentic stablecoin, crypto-commodity, etc.
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Market Analysis of December 23, 2019

The marketcap has been moving up (+3.71%) since yesterday. The total capitalization is 198 362 027 835 USD.

Bitcoin totals 136 650 576 065 USD of capitalization for a dominance of 68.9%. Ethereum’s marketcap is 14 505 229 196 USD, followed by Ripple with 8 485 707 762 USD.

Market Sentiment

HOW TO READ THE MARKET SENTIMENT ?

Bitcoin Analysis

Bitcoin closed higher and is now trading around $7530. It is regaining more and more dominance.

The daily technical situation is positive with all 3 bullish indicators.

Over a 4-hour time horizon, the technical situation remains positive despite a bearish CCI, WaveTrends and MACD showing signs of reversal.

What to do about it?

The BTC is accumulating and we need to see if the $7500 level holds, if it doesn’t we could go back down to $7200 or even $7000.

  • The supports of the day are at 7000$ — 6500$
  • The resistances of the day are at 7800$ — 8000$

Ethereum Analysis

ETH closed higher, trading around $133.5.

The daily technical situation is rather positive, with a WaveTrends that crossed higher.

The technical situation on a 4-hour horizon is also rather positive but we have signs of a bearish reversal.

What can we do?

We’re on old resistance and we need to see if it holds or if we’re going to fall back below $130.

  • The supports of the day are at 131$ — 121$
  • The resistances of the day are at 135$ — 141$

Conclusion

BTC and ETH are close to a resistance anchor and it is important to see if it will hold or not.

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Newsflash of December 20, 2019

Market Cap at 11:16 (UTC) – $191,988,552,609 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 68.1 %
BTC $7,224.65 (0.98%)
ETH $128.91 (1.10%)
XRP $0.188699 (0.13%)

France approved country first ICO


On December 18th, financial regulator of France, Autorité des Marches Financiers (AMF) have approved the first ICO of the country. The offeror, French-ICO has been white-listed on AMF’s website and the offer will start from March, 1 2020 to June 1, 2020.

German new law will recognize crypto as a financial instrument


After January, 1st 2020, crypto assets will be categorized by German Banking Act as a financial instrument. The new law defined crypto as a digital presentation of a value which isn’t issued by the Central Bank but can be accepted based on agreements by parties as mean of payments.

Binance adds Turkish lira pairs


On December, 20th 2019, Binance adds trading pairs for the Turkish lira. The pairs are BNB/TRY, BUSD/TRY and BTC/TRY.
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Market Analysis of December 20, 2019

The marketcap has been moving up (+2.01%) since yesterday. The total capitalization is 190 883 573 095 USD.

Bitcoin totals 130 087 116 312 USD of capitalization for a dominance of 68.2%. Ethereum’s marketcap is 13 978 957 257 USD, followed by Ripple with 8 141 273 760 USD.

Market Sentiment

HOW TO READ THE MARKET SENTIMENT ?

Bitcoin Analysis

Bitcoin closed lower and is now trading around $7138. The $7,000 level seems to serve as a support but we are in a consolidation phase. The BTC seems to be regaining its dominance.

The daily technical situation is positive.

On a 4 hour time horizon, the situation remains positive but we can see signs of a bearish curve.

What to do about it?

The BTC is entering a consolidation phase and stands just above $7000. It would be wise to wait for a test of 6800$ before positioning itself.

  • The supports of the day are at 7000$ — 6500$
  • The resistances of the day are at 7500$ — 8000$

Ethereum Analysis

ETH closed lower at around $127 and is in a consolidation phase.

The daily technical situation is rather negative despite an ICE that is expected to be bullish.

Over a 4 hour time horizon, the technical situation is positive. We therefore have a temporal divergence.

What can we do about it?

The direction that ETH will take is difficult to predict. Waiting for a test of support or resistance would be wise before taking a position.

  • The supports of the day are at 121$ — 114$
  • The resistances of the day are at 133$ — 141$

Conclusion

A retest is necessary before positioning yourself.

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